NFL Week 4 - September 28, 2025 20:25 UTC

Kansas City Chiefs logo

Kansas City Kansas City Chiefs

VS
Baltimore Ravens logo

Baltimore Baltimore Ravens

Status: FT | Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Game ID: f642a0f0-3475-9f5f-8516-b6a0cdd06a50

AI Prediction & Best Bet

Best Bet Type: NONE

Recommended Stake: PASS

Expected ROI: 0.00%

Model Confidence: 76.05%

Win Probabilities

36.1%
63.9%
Kansas City Chiefs Win 36.1%
Baltimore Ravens Win 63.9%

Score Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs Predicted Score 24.0
Baltimore Ravens Predicted Score 27.0
Kansas City Chiefs Actual Score 37
Baltimore Ravens Actual Score 20

Spread & Total

Predicted Spread 3.0
Predicted Total 51.0
Spread Odds -110
Total Over Odds -357

Moneyline Odds

Kansas City Chiefs 177
Baltimore Ravens -177

Key Insights

BETTING_ANALYSIS_DATA: {"bettingMarketAnalysis":{"bookmakerComparison":[{"bookmakerName":"10Bet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":125,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-175},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-129,"underOdds":-107},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":125,"awayOdds":-149},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Bet365","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":131,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-163},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-123,"underOdds":100},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":125,"awayOdds":-151},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Unibet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":125,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-156},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-121,"underOdds":102},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":123,"awayOdds":-147},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Marathon","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":123,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-163},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-113,"underOdds":-106},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":116,"awayOdds":-138},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betfair","spreads":{"homeSpread":2.5,"homeOdds":-105,"awaySpread":2.5,"awayOdds":-109},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-111,"underOdds":-111},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":120,"awayOdds":-142},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Pinnacle","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":134,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-156},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-125,"underOdds":106},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":131,"awayOdds":-149},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"SBO","spreads":{"homeSpread":2.5,"homeOdds":-106,"awaySpread":2.5,"awayOdds":-113},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-120,"underOdds":-103},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":121,"awayOdds":-156},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"1xBet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":125,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-175},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-123,"underOdds":100},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":125,"awayOdds":-149},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betano","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":135,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-175},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-133,"underOdds":100},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":127,"awayOdds":-153},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Superbet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":140,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-169},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":-121,"underOdds":100},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":125,"awayOdds":-147},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"}],"marketEfficiency":{"apiGameId":17373,"averageSpreadJuice":32.5,"averageTotalJuice":217.9,"spreadDispersion":0.8563489,"totalDispersion":4.2216372,"marketLiquidityScore":75,"noVigProbabilities":{"homeWinProbability":0.4257426,"awayWinProbability":0.57425743}},"lineMovement":{"spreadMovement":{"openingLine":2.5,"currentLine":2.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"totalMovement":{"openingLine":47.5,"currentLine":47.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"count":0,"recentMovementTrend":"Stable"},"sharpMoneyIndicators":{"apiGameId":0,"reverseLineMovementDetected":false,"rlmDescription":"","steamMovesCount":0,"topSteamMoves":[],"sharpBookMovement":"","closingLineValueOpportunity":0,"sharpMoneyConfidence":0,"analyzedAt":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},"valueOpportunities":[{"betType":"Spread","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":3,"marketLine":-1.5,"edgePercentage":4.5,"confidence":0.76051885,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Superbet","odds":140},{"betType":"Total","recommendedSide":"Over","modelLine":51,"marketLine":47.5,"edgePercentage":3.5,"confidence":0.76051885,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Betfair","odds":-111},{"betType":"Moneyline","recommendedSide":"Away","modelLine":36.14197,"marketLine":43.290043,"edgePercentage":7.1480722,"confidence":0.76051885,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Pinnacle","odds":-138}],"overallMarketSentiment":"Slightly Bearish","consensusRecommendations":"Opportunity: High market disagreement - shop for best lines","analyzedAt":"2025-09-28T16:06:12.1322941Z"}}

Game Script Analysis

HIGH_SCORING_BLOWOUT

Scenario Analysis

{"most_likely":{"home":24,"away":27,"prob":0.166},"high_scoring":{"home":31,"away":35,"prob":0.093},"low_scoring":{"home":20,"away":22,"prob":0.093},"blowout_home":{"home":41,"away":16,"prob":0.06},"blowout_away":{"home":13,"away":42,"prob":0.05},"defensive_battle":{"home":18,"away":20,"prob":0.078},"shootout":{"home":37,"away":41,"prob":0.055},"upset_special":{"home":34,"away":21,"prob":0.04},"scenario_confidence":0.761,"volatility_factor":0.171,"weather_factor":0.5,"home_field_advantage":2.5}

Head to Head

[{"week": null, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2024-01-28T21:00:00+01:00", "home_team": "BAL", "season_id": 2, "away_score": 17, "home_score": 10}, {"week": 2, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2021-09-20T02:20:00+02:00", "home_team": "BAL", "season_id": 4, "away_score": 35, "home_score": 36}]

Risk Metrics

Upset Potential 51.3%
Volatility Score 0.56
Prediction Reliability 80.54%

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Baltimore Ravens Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs Top Players

Baltimore Ravens Top Players

Kansas City Chiefs Season Stats

Baltimore Ravens Season Stats

This prediction is generated by TipIQ's AI model using advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.