NFL Week 11 - November 16, 2025 21:25 UTC

Denver Broncos logo

Denver Denver Broncos

VS
Kansas City Chiefs logo

Kansas City Kansas City Chiefs

Status: FT | Venue: Empower Field at Mile High | Game ID: b4607009-1977-1450-9e21-15cdf3aa8f26

AI Prediction & Best Bet

Best Bet Type: NONE

Recommended Stake: PASS

Expected ROI: 0.00%

Model Confidence: 79.63%

Win Probabilities

56.1%
43.9%
Denver Broncos Win 56.1%
Kansas City Chiefs Win 43.9%

Score Predictions

Denver Broncos Predicted Score 23.0
Kansas City Chiefs Predicted Score 20.0
Denver Broncos Actual Score 22
Kansas City Chiefs Actual Score 19

Spread & Total

Predicted Spread 3.0
Predicted Total 43.0
Spread Odds -110
Total Over Odds -909

Moneyline Odds

Denver Broncos -128
Kansas City Chiefs 128

Key Insights

BETTING_ANALYSIS_DATA: {"bettingMarketAnalysis":{"bookmakerComparison":[{"bookmakerName":"10Bet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":185,"awaySpread":2.5,"awayOdds":-200},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":114,"underOdds":-161},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":179,"awayOdds":-222},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Bet365","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":181,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-256},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-156},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":179,"awayOdds":-222},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Unibet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":165,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-217},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":129,"underOdds":-163},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":185,"awayOdds":-227},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Marathon","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":190,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-263},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-163},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":177,"awayOdds":-232},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betfair","spreads":{"homeSpread":3.5,"homeOdds":-105,"awaySpread":3.5,"awayOdds":-114},"totals":{"totalLine":44.5,"overOdds":-109,"underOdds":-109},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":179,"awayOdds":-200},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Pinnacle","spreads":{"homeSpread":1.5,"homeOdds":160,"awaySpread":1.5,"awayOdds":-188},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":138,"underOdds":-163},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":181,"awayOdds":-208},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"SBO","spreads":{"homeSpread":3.5,"homeOdds":-101,"awaySpread":3.5,"awayOdds":-120},"totals":{"totalLine":45,"overOdds":-102,"underOdds":-121},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":161,"awayOdds":-227},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"1xBet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":181,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-256},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-156},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":179,"awayOdds":-217},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betano","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":185,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-256},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":120,"underOdds":-161},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":185,"awayOdds":-227},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Superbet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":190,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-238},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-153},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":172,"awayOdds":-208},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"}],"marketEfficiency":{"apiGameId":17475,"averageSpreadJuice":69.5,"averageTotalJuice":89.6,"spreadDispersion":1.1055416,"totalDispersion":2.5819888,"marketLiquidityScore":75,"noVigProbabilities":{"homeWinProbability":0.34482756,"awayWinProbability":0.6551724}},"lineMovement":{"spreadMovement":{"openingLine":3.5,"currentLine":3.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"totalMovement":{"openingLine":44.5,"currentLine":44.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"count":0,"recentMovementTrend":"Stable"},"sharpMoneyIndicators":{"apiGameId":0,"reverseLineMovementDetected":false,"rlmDescription":"","steamMovesCount":0,"topSteamMoves":[],"sharpBookMovement":"","closingLineValueOpportunity":0,"sharpMoneyConfidence":0,"analyzedAt":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},"valueOpportunities":[{"betType":"Spread","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":4,"marketLine":-1.5,"edgePercentage":5.5,"confidence":0.7941427,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Marathon","odds":190},{"betType":"Total","recommendedSide":"Under","modelLine":44,"marketLine":47.5,"edgePercentage":3.5,"confidence":0.7941427,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Pinnacle","odds":138},{"betType":"Moneyline","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":56.694073,"marketLine":35.08772,"edgePercentage":21.606354,"confidence":0.7941427,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Unibet","odds":185}],"overallMarketSentiment":"Neutral","consensusRecommendations":"Opportunity: High market disagreement - shop for best lines","analyzedAt":"2025-11-16T20:53:03.6282314Z"}}

Game Script Analysis

BALANCED_GAME

Scenario Analysis

{"most_likely":{"home":23,"away":20,"prob":0.168},"high_scoring":{"home":30,"away":27,"prob":0.092},"low_scoring":{"home":18,"away":15,"prob":0.093},"blowout_home":{"home":40,"away":7,"prob":0.06},"blowout_away":{"home":12,"away":35,"prob":0.05},"defensive_battle":{"home":17,"away":15,"prob":0.078},"shootout":{"home":36,"away":32,"prob":0.058},"upset_special":{"home":17,"away":14,"prob":0.038},"scenario_confidence":0.796,"volatility_factor":0.283,"weather_factor":0.5,"home_field_advantage":2.5}

Head to Head

[{"week": 18, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2025-01-05T22:25:00+01:00", "home_team": "DEN", "season_id": 1, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 38}, {"week": 10, "status": "FT", "away_team": "DEN", "game_date": "2024-11-10T19:00:00+01:00", "home_team": "KC", "season_id": 1, "away_score": 14, "home_score": 16}, {"week": 8, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2023-10-29T21:25:00+01:00", "home_team": "DEN", "season_id": 2, "away_score": 9, "home_score": 24}, {"week": 6, "status": "FT", "away_team": "DEN", "game_date": "2023-10-13T02:15:00+02:00", "home_team": "KC", "season_id": 2, "away_score": 8, "home_score": 19}]

Risk Metrics

Upset Potential 49.5%
Volatility Score 0.44
Prediction Reliability 86.96%

Denver Broncos Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Denver Broncos Top Players

Kansas City Chiefs Top Players

Denver Broncos Season Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Season Stats

This prediction is generated by TipIQ's AI model using advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.