NFL Week 17 - December 26, 2025 01:15 UTC

Kansas City Chiefs logo

Kansas City Kansas City Chiefs

VS
Denver Broncos logo

Denver Denver Broncos

Status: FT | Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Game ID: 8bd177ab-acef-4c59-8b30-4ea47921a1c9

AI Prediction & Best Bet

Best Bet Type: NONE

Recommended Stake: PASS

Expected ROI: 0.00%

Model Confidence: 72.17%

Win Probabilities

42.3%
57.7%
Kansas City Chiefs Win 42.3%
Denver Broncos Win 57.7%

Score Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs Predicted Score 20.0
Denver Broncos Predicted Score 24.0
Kansas City Chiefs Actual Score 13
Denver Broncos Actual Score 20

Spread & Total

Predicted Spread 4.0
Predicted Total 44.0
Spread Odds -110
Total Over Odds -1111

Moneyline Odds

Kansas City Chiefs 136
Denver Broncos -136

Key Insights

BETTING_ANALYSIS_DATA: {"bettingMarketAnalysis":{"bookmakerComparison":[{"bookmakerName":"10Bet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":195,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-285},"totals":{"totalLine":42.5,"overOdds":140,"underOdds":-200},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":650,"awayOdds":-999},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Bet365","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":655,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-1428},"totals":{"totalLine":41,"overOdds":146,"underOdds":-185},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":650,"awayOdds":-999},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Unibet","spreads":{"homeSpread":2,"homeOdds":425,"awaySpread":2,"awayOdds":-833},"totals":{"totalLine":41.5,"overOdds":148,"underOdds":-188},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":575,"awayOdds":-909},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Marathon","spreads":{"homeSpread":1.5,"homeOdds":405,"awaySpread":1.5,"awayOdds":-714},"totals":{"totalLine":40.5,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-163},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":600,"awayOdds":-1111},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betfair","spreads":{"homeSpread":5.5,"homeOdds":-111,"awaySpread":5.5,"awayOdds":-111},"totals":{"totalLine":40.5,"overOdds":-111,"underOdds":-111},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":700,"awayOdds":-1111},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Pinnacle","spreads":{"homeSpread":3.5,"homeOdds":260,"awaySpread":3.5,"awayOdds":-333},"totals":{"totalLine":40,"overOdds":125,"underOdds":-144},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":672,"awayOdds":-909},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"SBO","spreads":{"homeSpread":12.5,"homeOdds":106,"awaySpread":12.5,"awayOdds":-131},"totals":{"totalLine":38.5,"overOdds":102,"underOdds":-128},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":555,"awayOdds":-2499},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"1xBet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":655,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-1428},"totals":{"totalLine":41,"overOdds":146,"underOdds":-181},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":650,"awayOdds":-999},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betano","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":660,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-1428},"totals":{"totalLine":41.5,"overOdds":137,"underOdds":-181},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":725,"awayOdds":-1249},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Superbet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":719,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-1249},"totals":{"totalLine":40.5,"overOdds":135,"underOdds":-166},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":680,"awayOdds":-999},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"}],"marketEfficiency":{"apiGameId":17556,"averageSpreadJuice":318.8,"averageTotalJuice":13.6,"spreadDispersion":3.5962942,"totalDispersion":1.4944341,"marketLiquidityScore":75,"noVigProbabilities":{"homeWinProbability":0.11858974,"awayWinProbability":0.8814102}},"lineMovement":{"spreadMovement":{"openingLine":12.5,"currentLine":12.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"totalMovement":{"openingLine":36.5,"currentLine":36.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"count":0,"recentMovementTrend":"Stable"},"sharpMoneyIndicators":{"apiGameId":0,"reverseLineMovementDetected":false,"rlmDescription":"","steamMovesCount":0,"topSteamMoves":[],"sharpBookMovement":"","closingLineValueOpportunity":0,"sharpMoneyConfidence":0,"analyzedAt":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},"valueOpportunities":[{"betType":"Spread","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":4,"marketLine":-1.5,"edgePercentage":5.5,"confidence":0.7214983,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Superbet","odds":719},{"betType":"Moneyline","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":42.325138,"marketLine":12.121212,"edgePercentage":30.203926,"confidence":0.7214983,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Betano","odds":725}],"overallMarketSentiment":"Slightly Bearish","consensusRecommendations":"Opportunity: High market disagreement - shop for best lines | Analysis: Heavy away favorite - consider contrarian value","analyzedAt":"2025-12-26T00:40:16.0276015Z"}}

Game Script Analysis

BALANCED_GAME

Scenario Analysis

{"most_likely":{"home":20,"away":24,"prob":0.196},"high_scoring":{"home":25,"away":29,"prob":0.105},"low_scoring":{"home":16,"away":20,"prob":0.101},"blowout_home":{"home":30,"away":16,"prob":0.08},"blowout_away":{"home":13,"away":32,"prob":0.05},"defensive_battle":{"home":14,"away":17,"prob":0.095},"shootout":{"home":28,"away":32,"prob":0.071},"upset_special":{"home":28,"away":18,"prob":0.052},"scenario_confidence":0.722,"volatility_factor":0.273,"weather_factor":0.5,"home_field_advantage":2.5}

Head to Head

[{"week": 11, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2025-11-16T22:25:00+01:00", "home_team": "DEN", "season_id": 6, "away_score": 19, "home_score": 22}, {"week": 18, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2025-01-05T22:25:00+01:00", "home_team": "DEN", "season_id": 1, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 38}, {"week": 10, "status": "FT", "away_team": "DEN", "game_date": "2024-11-10T19:00:00+01:00", "home_team": "KC", "season_id": 1, "away_score": 14, "home_score": 16}, {"week": 8, "status": "FT", "away_team": "KC", "game_date": "2023-10-29T21:25:00+01:00", "home_team": "DEN", "season_id": 2, "away_score": 9, "home_score": 24}]

Risk Metrics

Upset Potential 49.6%
Volatility Score 0.38
Prediction Reliability 82.70%

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Denver Broncos Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs Top Players

Denver Broncos Top Players

Kansas City Chiefs Season Stats

Denver Broncos Season Stats

This prediction is generated by TipIQ's AI model using advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.