NFL Week 3 - September 21, 2025 17:00 UTC

New England Patriots logo

Foxborough New England Patriots

VS
Pittsburgh Steelers logo

Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Steelers

Status: FT | Venue: Gillette Stadium | Game ID: 8ad9ca44-acd9-c656-9258-ea360d2791d0

AI Prediction & Best Bet

Best Bet Type: NONE

Recommended Stake: PASS

Expected ROI: 0.00%

Model Confidence: 81.45%

Win Probabilities

42.4%
57.6%
New England Patriots Win 42.4%
Pittsburgh Steelers Win 57.6%

Score Predictions

New England Patriots Predicted Score 21.0
Pittsburgh Steelers Predicted Score 23.0
New England Patriots Actual Score 14
Pittsburgh Steelers Actual Score 21

Spread & Total

Predicted Spread 2.0
Predicted Total 44.0
Spread Odds -110
Total Over Odds -555

Moneyline Odds

New England Patriots 136
Pittsburgh Steelers -136

Key Insights

BETTING_ANALYSIS_DATA: {"bettingMarketAnalysis":{"bookmakerComparison":[{"bookmakerName":"10Bet","spreads":{"homeSpread":1,"homeOdds":-111,"awaySpread":1,"awayOdds":-105},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":120,"underOdds":-166},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-105,"awayOdds":-111},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Bet365","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":-102,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-119},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":127,"underOdds":-158},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-105,"awayOdds":-116},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Dafabet","spreads":{"homeSpread":1,"homeOdds":-106,"awaySpread":1,"awayOdds":-109},"totals":{"totalLine":44,"overOdds":-104,"underOdds":-112},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-101,"awayOdds":-116},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Marathon","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":-101,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-128},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":127,"underOdds":-166},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-107,"awayOdds":-111},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Unibet","spreads":{"homeSpread":1,"homeOdds":-111,"awaySpread":1,"awayOdds":-108},"totals":{"totalLine":44.5,"overOdds":-108,"underOdds":-111},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-104,"awayOdds":-116},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betfair","spreads":{"homeSpread":1.5,"homeOdds":-111,"awaySpread":1.5,"awayOdds":-111},"totals":{"totalLine":44.5,"overOdds":-111,"underOdds":-111},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":100,"awayOdds":-125},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Pinnacle","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":100,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-114},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":135,"underOdds":-158},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-103,"awayOdds":-108},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"SBO","spreads":{"homeSpread":1.5,"homeOdds":-126,"awaySpread":1.5,"awayOdds":102},"totals":{"totalLine":44.5,"overOdds":-113,"underOdds":-108},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-112,"awayOdds":-107},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"1xBet","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1,"homeOdds":-102,"awaySpread":-1,"awayOdds":-117},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":127,"underOdds":-158},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-105,"awayOdds":-114},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},{"bookmakerName":"Betano","spreads":{"homeSpread":-1.5,"homeOdds":-107,"awaySpread":-1.5,"awayOdds":-128},"totals":{"totalLine":47.5,"overOdds":122,"underOdds":-166},"moneylines":{"homeOdds":-105,"awayOdds":-114},"lastUpdated":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"}],"marketEfficiency":{"apiGameId":17350,"averageSpreadJuice":9.1,"averageTotalJuice":65.4,"spreadDispersion":0.6146363,"totalDispersion":2.4949949,"marketLiquidityScore":75,"noVigProbabilities":{"homeWinProbability":0.49109414,"awayWinProbability":0.5089058}},"lineMovement":{"spreadMovement":{"openingLine":1.5,"currentLine":1.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"totalMovement":{"openingLine":44.5,"currentLine":44.5,"movement":0,"movementDirection":"Stable","totalMoves":1,"significantMoves":0},"count":0,"recentMovementTrend":"Stable"},"sharpMoneyIndicators":{"apiGameId":0,"reverseLineMovementDetected":false,"rlmDescription":"","steamMovesCount":0,"topSteamMoves":[],"sharpBookMovement":"","closingLineValueOpportunity":0,"sharpMoneyConfidence":0,"analyzedAt":"0001-01-01T00:00:00"},"valueOpportunities":[{"betType":"Spread","recommendedSide":"Home","modelLine":2,"marketLine":-1,"edgePercentage":3,"confidence":0.81452256,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Pinnacle","odds":100},{"betType":"Total","recommendedSide":"Under","modelLine":44,"marketLine":47.5,"edgePercentage":3.5,"confidence":0.81452256,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Pinnacle","odds":135},{"betType":"Moneyline","recommendedSide":"Away","modelLine":42.384483,"marketLine":50,"edgePercentage":7.6155157,"confidence":0.81452256,"expectedValue":0,"bestBookmaker":"Betfair","odds":-107}],"overallMarketSentiment":"Neutral","consensusRecommendations":"Opportunity: High market disagreement - shop for best lines | Opportunity: Balanced probabilities - shop for best value","analyzedAt":"2025-09-16T12:56:47.1281266Z"}}

Game Script Analysis

BALANCED_GAME

Scenario Analysis

{"most_likely":{"home":21,"away":23,"prob":0.169},"high_scoring":{"home":28,"away":30,"prob":0.092},"low_scoring":{"home":16,"away":18,"prob":0.093},"blowout_home":{"home":38,"away":12,"prob":0.06},"blowout_away":{"home":10,"away":37,"prob":0.05},"defensive_battle":{"home":16,"away":17,"prob":0.077},"shootout":{"home":33,"away":36,"prob":0.057},"upset_special":{"home":15,"away":17,"prob":0.037},"scenario_confidence":0.815,"volatility_factor":0.275,"weather_factor":0.5,"home_field_advantage":2.5}

Head to Head

[{"week": 14, "status": "FT", "away_team": "NE", "game_date": "2023-12-08T02:15:00+01:00", "home_team": "PIT", "season_id": 2, "away_score": 21, "home_score": 18}, {"week": 2, "status": "FT", "away_team": "NE", "game_date": "2022-09-18T19:00:00+02:00", "home_team": "PIT", "season_id": 3, "away_score": 17, "home_score": 14}]

Risk Metrics

Upset Potential 52.1%
Volatility Score 0.45
Prediction Reliability 90.70%

New England Patriots Injury Report

Pittsburgh Steelers Injury Report

New England Patriots Top Players

Pittsburgh Steelers Top Players

New England Patriots Season Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Season Stats

This prediction is generated by TipIQ's AI model using advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.