FA Cup - January 11, 2026 12:00 UTC

Derby logo

Derby

VS
Leeds logo

Leeds

Match Status: FT | Season: 25/26 | Match ID: 7f9d946e-d661-6a50-8870-0e7d3463e6dd

Win Probabilities

0.3%
0.3%
0.5%
Derby Win 0.3%
Draw 0.3%
Leeds Win 0.5%

Score Prediction

Predicted Score {"top": [{"prob": 0.152958, "score": "0-1"}, {"prob": 0.117255, "score": "1-1"}, {"prob": 0.11692, "score": "0-2"}, {"prob": 0.098591, "score": "1-2"}, {"prob": 0.090957, "score": "0-0"}, {"prob": 0.076698, "score": "1-0"}, {"prob": 0.059581, "score": "0-3"}, {"prob": 0.050241, "score": "1-3"}, {"prob": 0.049437, "score": "2-1"}, {"prob": 0.037789, "score": "2-2"}, {"prob": 0.032337, "score": "2-0"}, {"prob": 0.022772, "score": "0-4"}, {"prob": 0.021183, "score": "2-3"}, {"prob": 0.019202, "score": "1-4"}, {"prob": 0.013896, "score": "3-1"}, {"prob": 0.010622, "score": "3-2"}, {"prob": 0.009089, "score": "3-0"}, {"prob": 0.008096, "score": "2-4"}, {"prob": 0.006963, "score": "0-5"}, {"prob": 0.005413, "score": "3-3"}], "top_pick": "A", "top_by_side": {"A": [{"prob": 0.152958, "score": "0-1"}, {"prob": 0.11692, "score": "0-2"}, {"prob": 0.098591, "score": "1-2"}, {"prob": 0.059581, "score": "0-3"}, {"prob": 0.050241, "score": "1-3"}], "D": [{"prob": 0.117255, "score": "1-1"}, {"prob": 0.090957, "score": "0-0"}, {"prob": 0.037789, "score": "2-2"}, {"prob": 0.005413, "score": "3-3"}], "H": [{"prob": 0.076698, "score": "1-0"}, {"prob": 0.049437, "score": "2-1"}, {"prob": 0.032337, "score": "2-0"}, {"prob": 0.013896, "score": "3-1"}, {"prob": 0.010622, "score": "3-2"}]}, "aligned_with_pick": "H"}
Actual Score 1-3
Home Expected Goals (λ) 0.84
Away Expected Goals (λ) 1.53

Betting Markets

Both Teams to Score 0.6%
Over 2.5 Goals 0.6%
Expected ROI 0.43%
Expected Profit ($100 bet) $2.43

League Standings

Derby Recent Form

Leeds Recent Form

Derby Squad

Leeds Squad

Top Players

This prediction is generated by TipIQ's AI model using advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.